The Challenge
The province of North Holland and the Amsterdam Transport Region wanted to gain insight into the impacts of the arrival of self-driving cars.
The province of North Holland and the Amsterdam Transport Region wanted to gain insight into the impacts of the arrival of self-driving cars.
Arcadis conducted a study in collaboration with TNO as part of the Smart Mobility 2018-2022 program.
The province and the Amsterdam Transport Region have included the research results in the development of their policy.
Developments in the field of mobility are moving fast. Vehicles and ships are becoming smarter and removing some of the work for drivers. Also, nobody doubts the arrival of (fully) self-driving cars - but when exactly will that be? What does the arrival of self-driving vehicles mean for the roads, road safety, accessibility and quality of life in the province? And what will happen to public transport in the future?
All of these questions are central to the Smart Mobility 2018-2022 program, a collaborative effort between the province of North Holland and the Amsterdam Transport Region. In addition, the province is still working on its medium and long-term course up to 2050. A study by Arcadis and TNO provided more insights into the impact of self-driving vehicles .
For this study, we worked out different scenarios for the effects of self-driving vehicles in five urban and less urbanized areas in North Holland. These were extreme scenarios, because they were more suitable for gaining insight into the maximum impact and the way in which car ownership and car sharing will develop. Fully self-driving vehicles no longer require a driver, driving experience or driver's license, allowing more people to use these vehicles. The result could be busier roads in North Holland.
Our research indeed showed that the traffic on the roads in North Holland will increase considerably if all cars become fully self-driving. Moreover, it is expected that the existing, traditional public transport and slow traffic (pedestrian/bicycle) will be partly replaced by new, self-driving transport concepts. The researchers therefore recommended the formulation of an integrated network vision for traffic and transport connections within the provincial network of roads, rail, bus and transfer points. In addition to self-driving, other developments – such as Mobility as a Service (MaaS) and far-reaching electrification – should also be included. The province and the Transport Region will include the research results in the development of their policy
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